I think it is almost a year that i read reports from baghdad where the journalist is questioning whether this latest bomb is indicative of a civil war in iraq. is this one particularly aweful in that it signals the slidding towards the beginning of an unstoppable conflict? does it signal of a new particularly violent stage?
i am not sure where i am being overly presumptious, but at the expense of being simplistic, is it not obvious as day that there is a civil war in Iraq, that it has been going on for quite some time, and the only obstacle to it becoming something on the scale of darfur in the military presence of the US?
As Clawson suggests in his latest article on the future of Iraw in MERIA, in all the possible scenarious on Iraq, no matter how positive, would put it at 2010 at minimum for the realistic beginning of a reconstruction process. He has a good point when he suggests that there cannot be a long term peace without both sides feeling that they cannot annihilate each other in the absence of international troops. i suppose this is very IR realism-like, but i can see a grain of truth with it. i dont see the south africa reconciliation commission style happening here.